Speculative decoding
Name variants 投机解码 · 推测解码
arXiv:2611.05611v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Speculative decoding (SD) speeds up large language model (LLM) serving, but its gain depends on the workload's \emph{shape}, such as batch size and context length, and on its \emph{content}. A model-based drafter proposes a short block on any content, while a model-free drafter such as n-gram lookup proposes lo
This explanation quotes or summarizes the cited source record. Saving creates a bookmark on this device, with no automatic account sync.
- First observed in our collection
- Oct 12, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC
- Earliest cited publication
- Oct 12, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
- Last observed
- Nov 5, 2026, 3:41 PM UTC
Evidence in the last complete seven days
- Source mentions
- 7 Previous seven days 4
- Distinct sources
- 2 Previous 1
- Comparable growth
- Not comparable
- Ranking appearances
- 0
Collection observations and undated records are separate from dated publication counts. Observed in 7d:3 · Undated records:0
Collection coverage · Limited historyCurrent / previous observed days 7 / 3
Counts use complete UTC days. First observed means first seen by this collection, not when a term was coined.
Current window:2026-10-29 → 2026-11-05 (end excluded) · History 11 days
| Source | Current days | Previous days | Last success |
|---|---|---|---|
| arXiv | 6 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC |
| arXiv | 7 | 2 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC |
| Ask HN | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC |
| Ask HN | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC |
| Ask HN | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC |
| Ask HN | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC |
| GitHub | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC |
| GitHub Issues | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC |
| GitHub Releases | 7 | 1 | Nov 5, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC |
| GitHub | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC |
| GitHub Issues | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC |
| GitHub Releases | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:14 PM UTC |
| GitHub | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC |
| GitHub Issues | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC |
| GitHub Releases | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:14 PM UTC |
| GitHub Discovery | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:13 PM UTC |
| GitHub Trending | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:14 PM UTC |
| 7 | 2 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC | |
| Hugging Face | 7 | 2 | Nov 5, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC |
| Hugging Face Spaces | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:13 PM UTC |
| Hacker News | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 12:45 PM UTC |
| Hacker News | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC |
| Hacker News | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC |
| Hacker News | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:13 PM UTC |
| Show HN | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:13 PM UTC |
| MIT News | 7 | 2 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC |
| OpenAI | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC |
| Product Hunt | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 12:45 PM UTC |
| 量子位 | 7 | 3 | Nov 4, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC |
| OpenRouter | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:41 PM UTC |
| Hugging Face Models | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:41 PM UTC |
| HF Daily Papers | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:41 PM UTC |
| OpenRouter | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:41 PM UTC |
| SEC EDGAR | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC |
| Sequoia Capital | 7 | 2 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC |
| Simon Willison | 0 | 0 | Nov 5, 2026, 3:13 PM UTC |
| TechCrunch | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC |
| Contracts Finder | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC |
| V2EX | 7 | 3 | Nov 5, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC |
- Counts describe monitored public sources, not the whole web or search demand.
- Both weeks need adequate, comparable collection coverage.
Daily history · up to 90 days
Bars show dated source mentions. The latest UTC day may be incomplete. Zero mentions and missing collection coverage are different conditions.
Dotted markers indicate days with no record. They are not counted as zero mentions.
View accessible daily data
| UTC date | Mentions | Sources | Observations | Ranking appearances |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-10-13 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-14 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-15 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-16 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-17 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-18 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-19 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-10-21 · No record | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-10-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-26 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-10-27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-10-31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-11-01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-03 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-11-05 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Source evidence
Sources in the evidence shown:arXiv 12 · HF Daily Papers 2 · GitHub Issues 1
arXiv · Published Nov 5, 2026
Hybrid Spark: Adaptive Speculative Decoding That Lets the Content Choose the Drafter
arXiv:2611.05611v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Speculative decoding (SD) speeds up large language model (LLM) serving, but its gain depends on the workload's \emph{shape}, such as batch size and context length, and on its \emph{content}. A model-based drafter proposes a short block on any content, while a model-free drafter such as n-gram lookup proposes lo
View source record →arXiv · Published Nov 4, 2026
Towards Optimal Multi-draft Speculative Decoding
arXiv:2502.18779v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have become an indispensable part of natural language processing tasks. However, autoregressive sampling has become an efficiency bottleneck. Multi-Draft Speculative Decoding (MDSD) is a recent approach where, when generating each token, a small draft model generates multiple dr
View source record →arXiv · Published Nov 4, 2026
ROCm InferaSim: Cut LLM Serving Trial Costs and Deploy the Best Configuration
arXiv:2611.04032v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Serving an LLM efficiently depends on the engine, how the model is split across GPUs, precision, scheduler settings, speculative decoding, KV-cache management, and prefill-decode disaggregation. The best configuration depends on the model, hardware, workload, and objective. Operators usually find it by trial an
View source record →arXiv · Published Nov 4, 2026
HybridSpec: Throughput-Aware Speculative Decoding for Hybrid GDN-MoE Models
arXiv:2611.04055v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In speculative decoding, parallel drafters such as DFlash make drafting cheap, so target verification dominates each round. A central choice is the verification length, the number of tokens that the target processes in each round. Verifying more draft tokens can accept more of them, but work after the first rej
View source record →HF Daily Papers · Published Nov 3, 2026
Adversarial Speculative Reasoning Improves Long Horizon Agents
Speculative decoding has been treated purely as a systems optimization that speeds up large language model decoding without changing the model behavior. Under this view, the growing effort to train better draft models has been focused solely on acceptance rate. We argue that this view does not hold true for long-horizon agent reasoning. Measuring frontier op
GitHub Issues · Published Nov 2, 2026
QuantizedCache.crop() raises IndexError across FP8, Quanto and HQQ, breaking speculative decoding
View source record →arXiv · Published Nov 2, 2026
TraceSpec: Understanding and Improving Speculative Decoding for LLM Agents
arXiv:2610.41177v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM agents execute tasks through repeated model calls over evolving histories of reasoning, actions, and tool feedback. Aggregate speculative-decoding metrics merge these distinct decisions, providing limited guidance on where draft supervision is needed. We present TraceSpec, a framework connecting trajectory
View source record →HF Daily Papers · Published Nov 2, 2026
SpecOPD: Branch-Parallel On-Policy Distillation for Speculative Decoding
Speculative decoding (SD) accelerates large language model inference by reducing the sequential cost of token-by-token generation. Advanced SD methods reduce proposal cost with parallel drafters that predict entire blocks in one forward pass, but overall speedup still depends on acceptance length. On-policy distillation (OPD) can push well-trained drafters b
arXiv · Published Oct 26, 2026
SPECMEM: Accelerating Agentic Tool Calling via Live Memory Management
arXiv:2610.31840v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tool-calling agents are mostly optimized for accuracy; in deployment, however, their growing cost is latency: every tool call is decoded autoregressively. Speculative decoding accelerates this without changing the output, and retrieved past calls make strong drafts under real use, where each user's behavior ten
View source record →arXiv · Published Oct 23, 2026
Speculative Acceptance Does Not Decay with Position: A Full-Length Diagnostic on Long Chain-of-Thought with Independent Drafts
arXiv:2610.30644v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The claim that speculative-decoding acceptance rate decays as a chain-of-thought grows longer has become a de facto industry narrative, motivating draft-model co-design and position-aware training. Nearly all direct evidence comes from trained drafters whose offline training length is far shorter than inference
View source record →arXiv · Published Oct 22, 2026
Target Regeneration Shrinks the Gains of Draft-Training Objectives in Speculative Decoding
arXiv:2610.29013v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Speculative decoding accelerates large language models by verifying drafted tokens in parallel. New draft-training objectives are usually credited with the acceptance they add over cross-entropy on externally written responses, yet many pipelines let the target rewrite them. We ask how much of that gain survive
View source record →arXiv · Published Oct 22, 2026
Understanding Target Probability Reuse in Speculative Decoding
arXiv:2610.29210v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Speculative decoding uses a target model to verify a tree of draft tokens in parallel. We study whether the resulting next-token distributions can help select the next tree. For unrestricted target models, we show that guaranteed exact reuse requires a distribution computed at the next round's complete context.
View source record →arXiv · Published Oct 20, 2026
FlashMap: Flow Map Speculative Decoding
View source record →arXiv · Published Oct 12, 2026
Contextual Correction of Parallel Draftsfor Speculative Decoding
View source record →arXiv · Published Oct 12, 2026
Surfing the Activation Wave: Analyzing the Information and Geometry of LLM Hidden States for Speculative Decoding
View source record →
Review priority 65 / 100
This score orders research candidates. It is not search volume, a forecast or verified commercial demand.
Evidence
24 / 30Distinct dated articles or first observations; repeat crawling adds nothing.
Publisher diversity
16 / 25Conservative owner grouping; syndicated copies count once.
Comparable change
0 / 20Comparable complete weeks only; no percentage from a zero baseline.
Recent evidence
15 / 15Latest publication or first observation, not repeated fetch time.
Name specificity
9.7 / 10Explicit entities and technical concepts outrank ambiguous acronyms.
Limitations and interpretation
- First observation is a collection milestone, not proof that a word or product is new to the world.
- Counts describe monitored public sources, not the whole web or search demand.
- First observed here is not the invention date of a name or idea.
- Candidates come from public titles, summaries and entity URLs, not verified full-text analysis.
- Owner grouping is conservative; undisclosed syndication may remain.
- Repeat ranking appearances are observations, not new articles or independent endorsements.
- An established concept or common product name retained as a baseline, not a newly invented term.
- Both weeks need adequate, comparable collection coverage.
- Sources behind this term changed or lack a comparable baseline.
- Recent evidence includes collection over three days after publication.